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Optimal Leverage

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Calculation of Optimal Leverage Curves

Leveraged ETFs are affected by the concept of volatility drag, which refers to the loss in returns caused by daily market volatility. This drag impacts all leveraged ETFs.

This paper[1] presents a formula for the long-term compound annual growth rate of a leveraged ETF, which is approximated as:

R=kμ−\ rac0.5k2σ21+kμR = k \mu - \ rac{0.5 k^2 \sigma^2}{1 + k \mu}R=kμ−\ rac0.5k2σ21+kμ

Here, RRR represents the compound daily growth rate, kkk denotes the ETF leverage, μ\muμ is the mean daily return of the benchmark, and σ\sigmaσ indicates the daily volatility of the benchmark.

References:
[1] Cooper, Tony, Alpha Generation and Risk Smoothing Using Managed Volatility (August 25, 2010). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1664823 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1664823